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Where did all the bargain fares to Europe go?
Will this be the summer of our discontent when we search for cheap airfares to Europe? Is the party over? But that was last year. The winter just ending is the first time in memory that we didn't see dead-of-winter deals to Europe. In winters past, the airlines went into panic mode, selling fares for February travel for as low as $250 or $300 round-trip including taxes, even on nonstops from New York to Paris. This winter, however, fares remained stubbornly stuck in the $600's, $700's and even $800's to most destinations, although there were a few fleeting $500 bargains to such places as Dublin, Barcelona and Madrid.
Even Frankfurt, typically the cheapest gateway to the Continent, saw no amazing deals as in past winters.
So what's going on here, and how does this bode for travel this spring and summer?
Of course, only fools dare to predict how an irrational airline industry will react, so we'll steer clear of hard and fast prognostication. However, the bargain-less winter does not give us much hope.
But we will say this: many European governments have increased airport taxes, as outlined in this New York Times article on the subject, which reports that a $458 fare from New York to London recently came saddled with $162 in taxes and government fees.And it may only get worse. The British government, for example, currently adds an Air Passenger Duty of £45 in economy class, but this will rise to £60 on Nov. 1, and £90 on business and first class fares, scheduled to increase to £120 on the same day.
In addition, many airlines have cut capacity and grounded jets for the duration, which will put pressure on fares. Last July, British Airways announced it would slash winter capacity by 4-5%, grounding over a dozen planes.
Adding to our misery, the weak dollar has enticed bargain-hunting Europeans to visit the U.S. Those shopping bag-toting hordes are driving up demand and fares along with it, taking seats that we were hoping to get for next to nothing.
Currently, spring and summer fares to most European destinations are running in the $900 to $1500 range, including tax. That's still less than what we saw in summer 2008, when it wasn't unusual to cough up $1900 and $2000 on economy class fares for peak July and August dates. Even so, we would be very surprised if at some point there isn't a brief, hit-and-run sale on some routes. So our only advice is to sign up for fare alerts (http://www.airfarewatchdog.com/fare-alerts/) and jump if such a sale does come to pass.
George Hobica is the founder of Airfarewatchdog™, the most inclusive source of airfare deals that have been researched and verified by experts. Airfarewatchdog compares fares from all airlines and includes the increasing number of airline-site-only and promo code fares.
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Filed under: Europe, North America, Airlines, Airports, Budget Travel












Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
Pat Mar 16th 2010 10:06AM
If they're tacking on additional fees at the airport to that level, maybe the lack of travelers heading to Europe because of that has adversely affected the ticket prices. The airlines have to compensate for the lower loads. Anyhow, so much for my dreams of visiting Europe again this year if those airport fees are attached. Thanks for shedding some light on the matter though.
Richard Mar 16th 2010 10:32AM
The issue, IMHO, is that airlines have cut back on capacity, keeping prices high. The additional airport fees don't help.
Dan Mar 16th 2010 5:53PM
Be patIent--we just got a RT IAD-Copenhagen, returning from Dusseldorf on SAS in late June-early July for $700. Values are there but you must be flexible and check fares obsessively!
Eileen Mar 16th 2010 5:34PM
Thanks for the optimistic note Dan. Did you receive a travel notice about a sale or were you going to different sites checking fares?
Eileen
stephanie Mar 16th 2010 9:12PM
actually I've found great bargains on trips to Europe. It's the shorter trips that have the high fares. I needed to make a trip to Shreveport, LA (approximately 300 miles from my home) and the fare was over $1,000 RT !! I couldn't believe it! This is totally and completely unreasonable. Also I recently needed a one way ticket from Vancouver, BC to Atlanta. Fare for that one way trip was $350.00.
I got email last week from a travel agency offering a trip to Europe which included 4 Star hotel stay for 4 days AND airfare for $750.00.
Airline fares are just totally screwed up right now.
BraceWinslow Mar 16th 2010 10:08PM
Watch how airline prices come way down if gas prices drop. High gas prices make everything we buy or consume shoot up. Pelosi and company are to blame for stopping oil drilling in the U.S.
Dan Mar 17th 2010 8:58AM
Eileen, I used ITA Software and Fare Compare to get an idea of where/when the low fares are, then try different combos of open jaw cities. It's an inexact science.
georgehobica Mar 17th 2010 9:09AM
There are a few "relative bargains" here and there. For example, AerLingus.com is selling Boston to Barcelona right now on its site only (not on Orbitz, ITASoftware etc) for $571 rt including tax for travel midweek in April.